Florida State Seminoles
1–0 · 0–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2026
Week 1 pregame guide
Florida State gets a chance to show what has changed
The SMU rematch tests Florida State’s rebuilt offense, early run-game promise and ability to change the terms of a lopsided first meeting.
Read the rooting guide →
Credit
Photo creditThomson20192Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 2.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.Your game
SMU at Florida StateFinal
SMU
Final · SMU 27–24 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Florida State
Nothing else moves the path
the rest is background footballNothing else meaningfully changes Florida State's path. Watch the rest because it is football.
42 other games had little impact
Massachusetts at Rutgers · BTN
Akron at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
UAB at Illinois · BTN
San José State at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UTEP at Oklahoma · SECN+
Toledo at Michigan State · FS1
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at USC · FOX
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Oregon State at Houston · ESPN
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia · TNT
North Texas at Indiana · FOX
Ohio at Nebraska · FS1
Liberty at James Madison · ESPNU
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh · The CW Network
Ball State at Ohio State · BTN
Kent State at South Carolina · SEC Network
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Texas State at Texas · ESPN
Boston College at Cincinnati · FOX
Tulane at Duke · ACC Network
Boise State at Oregon · CBS
Marshall at Penn State · FS1
Oklahoma State at Tulsa · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Iowa · BTN
Wyoming at Colorado State · USA Network
Missouri State at Texas A&M · ESPN
Arkansas State at Memphis · ESPN+
Florida International at South Florida · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Troy · ESPN+
Clemson at LSU · ABC
UL Monroe at Mississippi State · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Michigan · NBC
Florida Atlantic at Florida · SEC Network
UNLV at Hawai'i · The CW Network
Central Michigan at New Mexico · FS1
UCLA at California · ESPN
Western Kentucky at Nevada · CBSSN
Washington State at Washington · NBC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Wisconsin at Notre Dame · NBC
The rooting list was:Florida State. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (preseason). How the model works.