#21Cincinnati Bearcats
6–1 · 4–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
25%
Big 12 title game
8%
Win the Big 12
7%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.2
How the week went: playoff odds 7% → 13% · title-game odds 25% → 32%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Cincinnati's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
Baylor at #21 Cincinnati
Your game. Beat Baylor and your playoff odds are 10%; lose and they drop to 3%.
Final · Baylor 20–41 CincinnatiWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPNU
Oklahoma State at #14 Texas Tech
Big 12 race: Texas Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Oklahoma State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Oklahoma State 0–42 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma State+6.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Houston at #24 Arizona State
Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Houston 24–16 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Root for Houston+5.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Iowa State
Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Iowa State — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play BYU in week 13.
Final · BYU 41–27 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa State+4.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · TNT
Kansas State at Kansas
Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Kansas — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Kansas State 42–17 KansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas+2.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Colorado at Utah
Big 12 race: Utah losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Utah in week 10.
Final · Colorado 7–53 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado+2.0 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.