#24Arizona State Sun Devils
5–2 · 3–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
28%
Big 12 title game
10%
Win the Big 12
9%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.6
How the week went: playoff odds 9% → <1% · title-game odds 28% → 5%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Arizona State's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
Houston at #24 Arizona State
Your game. Beat Houston and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to 2%.
Final · Houston 24–16 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPNU
Oklahoma State at #14 Texas Tech
You already beat Texas Tech; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Oklahoma State 0–42 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma State+5.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Iowa State
Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; Iowa State visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · BYU 41–27 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa State+8.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Baylor at #21 Cincinnati
Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Baylor — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Baylor 20–41 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+7.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Colorado at Utah
Big 12 race: Utah losing helps your spot in the standings; Utah losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Colorado visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Colorado 7–53 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado+2.7 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.