#4LSU Tigers
4–0 · 1–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
4%
SEC title game
<1%
Win the SEC
57%
Make the playoff
1%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.5
How the week went: playoff odds 57% → <1% · title-game odds 4% → 2%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves LSU's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss
Your game. Beat Ole Miss and your playoff odds are 84%; lose and they drop to 52%.
Final · LSU 19–24 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Notre Dame 56–13 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+6.9 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · Peacock
#11 Indiana at Iowa
Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Indiana 20–15 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+4.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia
You still play Alabama in week 11.
Final · Alabama 24–21 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia+3.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Auburn at #9 Texas A&M
You still play Texas A&M in week 9.
Final · Auburn 10–16 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+3.5 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5).