#9Illinois Fighting Illini
3–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
3%
Big Ten title game
<1%
Win the Big Ten
23%
Make the playoff
3%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.7
How the week went: playoff odds 23% → 1% · title-game odds 3% → <1%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Illinois's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
#9 Illinois at #19 Indiana
Your game. Beat Indiana and your playoff odds are 37%; lose and they drop to 20%.
Final · Illinois 10–63 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBS
Washington at Washington State
Washington visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Washington 59–24 Washington StateWish granted ✓
Root for Washington+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Iowa at Rutgers
Rutgers visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · Iowa 38–28 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+1.5 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.