Ohio Bobcats
5–3 · 3–1 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
64%
MAC title game
45%
Win the MAC
5%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
How the week went: playoff odds 5% → 5% · title-game odds 64% → 71%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ohio's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Ohio
Your game. Beat Miami (OH) and your playoff odds are 6%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Final · Miami (OH) 20–24 OhioWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Toledo
Mid-American race: Toledo losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Northern Illinois — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Northern Illinois 3–42 ToledoWent the other way ✗
Root for Northern Illinois+8.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
James Madison at Marshall
Marshall winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · James Madison 35–23 MarshallWent the other way ✗
Root for Marshall+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Kent State at Ball State
Mid-American race: Kent State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Kent State 13–17 Ball StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ball State+2.0 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.