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#9Vanderbilt Commodores

7–1 · 3–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
2%
SEC title game
<1%
Win the SEC
38%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.6
How the week went: playoff odds 38% → <1% · title-game odds 2% → <1%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678910

If Vanderbilt wins out: 12% to win the SEC, 99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Vanderbilt's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas

Your game. Beat Texas and your playoff odds are 73%; lose and they drop to 28%.

Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State

NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+11.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#10 Miami at SMU

SMU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Miami 20–26 SMUWish granted ✓
Root for SMU+8.3 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · The CW Network
#16 Louisville at Virginia Tech

You beat Virginia Tech — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Louisville 28–16 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+4.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#2 Indiana at Maryland

Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Indiana 55–10 MarylandWish granted ✓
Root for Indiana+3.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#15 Virginia at California

California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Virginia 31–21 CaliforniaWent the other way ✗
Root for California+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at Clemson

Clemson winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Duke 46–45 ClemsonWent the other way ✗
Root for Clemson+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#5 Georgia at Florida

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+2.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#18 Oklahoma at #14 Tennessee

You still play Tennessee in week 14.

Final · Oklahoma 33–27 TennesseeWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat South Carolina — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+2.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
Penn State at #1 Ohio State

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio State+1.5 pp playoff odds
41 more games that don't move your needle
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10).