#9Vanderbilt Commodores
7–1 · 3–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
2%
SEC title game
<1%
Win the SEC
37%
Make the playoff
5%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.6
How the week went: playoff odds 37% → 10% · title-game odds 2% → <1%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Vanderbilt's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas
Your game. Beat Texas and your playoff odds are 62%; lose and they drop to 30%.
Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#5 Georgia at Florida
Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss
You beat South Carolina — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#15 Virginia at California
California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Virginia 31–21 CaliforniaWent the other way ✗
Root for California+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State
NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#10 Miami at SMU
SMU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Miami 20–26 SMUWish granted ✓
Root for SMU+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#18 Oklahoma at #14 Tennessee
Tennessee visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Oklahoma 33–27 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Root for Tennessee+1.2 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.