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Kennesaw State Owls

5–2 · 3–0 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
37%
CUSA title game
13%
Win the CUSA
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 37% → 40%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678910

If Kennesaw State wins out: 43% to win the CUSA, <1% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Kennesaw State's path
Your game
…
… · ESPNU
UTEP at Kennesaw State

Your game. Win and your Conference USA title-game odds are 43%; lose and they fall to 16%.

Final · UTEP 20–33 Kennesaw StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky

Conference USA race: Western Kentucky losing helps your spot in the standings; New Mexico State visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Final · New Mexico State 16–35 Western KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for New Mexico State+4.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee

Conference USA race: Jacksonville State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Middle Tennessee — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Jacksonville State in week 12.

Final · Jacksonville State 24–21 Middle TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Root for Middle Tennessee+3.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Delaware at Liberty

Conference USA race: Delaware losing helps your spot in the standings; Liberty visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Delaware 30–59 LibertyWish granted ✓
Root for Liberty+3.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Florida International at Missouri State

Conference USA race: Missouri State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Florida International — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Missouri State in week 13.

Final · Florida International 21–28 Missouri StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida International+3.1 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.