Duke Blue Devils
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
6%
ACC title game
2%
Win the ACC
2%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.7
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Virginia.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Duke's pathYour game
TBD
FRI OCT 23
Duke at Virginia
Your game. Beat Virginia and your playoff odds are 4%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Virginia 62%
No other game this week meaningfully moves Duke's odds. Enjoy the football.
53 more games that don't move your needle
California at SMU
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
James Madison at App State
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.