Texas State Bobcats

0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT

Way too early

WEEK 15 · 2026

46%

Sun Belt title game

25%

Win the Sun Belt

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 11.4

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15

If Texas State wins out: 63% to win the Sun Belt, 51% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas State's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Texas State's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Navy at Army

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.