Navy Midshipmen

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 15 · 2026

21%

American title game

Win the American

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 11.5

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-15 job: beat Army.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15

If Navy wins out: 46% to win the American, 49% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Navy's path

Your game

…

Navy at Army

Your game. Beat Army and your playoff odds are 4%; lose and they drop to <1%.

Army 51%

No other game this week meaningfully moves Navy's odds. Enjoy the football.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.