Memphis Tigers

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 15 · 2026

American title game

Win the American

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 11.5

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15

If Memphis wins out: 35% to win the American, 33% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Memphis's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Memphis's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Navy at Army

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.