Oklahoma Sooners
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 12 · 2026
10%
SEC title game
4%
Win the SEC
20%
Make the playoff
4%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.4
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-12 job: beat Texas A&M.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oklahoma's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Texas A&M at Oklahoma
Your game. Beat Texas A&M and your playoff odds are 30%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Oklahoma 56%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI NOV 20
Oregon at Michigan State
Michigan State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Oregon 87%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Indiana at Washington
Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Indiana 77%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Iowa at Illinois
Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Iowa 68%
61 more games that don't move your needle
Pittsburgh at Louisville
Vanderbilt at Florida
Ball State at Ohio
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Kent State
Akron at Massachusetts
Bowling Green at Toledo
Central Michigan at Buffalo
Rice at Temple
Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech
Clemson at Duke
Kentucky at Missouri
Georgia at South Carolina
LSU at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas
Arizona at Kansas State
BYU at Kansas
Colorado at Cincinnati
Houston at West Virginia
Iowa State at UCF
Oklahoma State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Baylor
Utah at TCU
Virginia Tech at Miami
NC State at Florida State
North Carolina at Virginia
Stanford at California
Syracuse at Boston College
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
UCLA at Michigan
Northwestern at Minnesota
Ohio State at Nebraska
Rutgers at Penn State
Wisconsin at Purdue
Maryland at USC
Colorado State at Fresno State
Utah State at Oregon State
Washington State at Texas State
San Diego State at Boise State
Old Dominion at UConn
East Carolina at Army
Charlotte at Tulsa
South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Memphis at Navy
North Texas at Tulane
UTSA at UAB
Hawai'i at Nevada
New Mexico at Wyoming
UNLV at San José State
UTEP at Air Force
UL Monroe at App State
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Troy
Georgia State at Marshall
Delaware at New Mexico State
Florida International at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Liberty
Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston
South Alabama at Southern Miss
SMU at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.